SurveyUSA, Idaho, and a ray of sunshine
SurveyUSA's latest poll show's President Bush at his LOWEST level of approval in Idaho in at least 11 months. Checking in at 50-47% approval to disapproval, the President is in the midst of a 2 month, -16% net change. I've complained before about how Idaho has been quite the cheerleader of the Pro-Bush team. We've fallen to number 4, following Utah (net +13%), Wyoming (+7%), and Alabama (+5%). Only 7 states give Bush a positive rating. After us (+3%), it's Mississippi and Oklahoma (Both +2%) and Nebraska (+1%).
This is a big drop. The past two month's drops are out of the margin of error, in both directions. Where is it coming from? Frankly, I was suprised. Not from where it came from (all sides), but how much. The strongest drops came from Conservative frames: Republican identification, -11% (45% of those surveyed); Conservative identification, -20% (41% of those surveyed); and a whopping -22% for self- identified as Pro- Life (48% of those surveyed). There are more drops found among regular church goers, -13%; women, -14% (50% of those surveyed... Duh.); and 18-34, -17% (33% of those surveyed).
Now what's it mean? To me, this shows that the conservatives in Idaho have finally woken up and smelled the trash. This is step number 1 on us taking over: Dissatisfaction among the base. Midterms are notorious for low turnouts, mostly members of the base of the parties. If the other side isn't fired up, even less of them will go to the polls in November. This gives me even more hope for Mr. Brady, Mr. Grant (who was kind enough to visit Moscow's Drinking Liberally the other night and is invited back any time) and other democratic candidates. I have a lot more hope for the good guys in Idaho now. The dream of a democratic Idaho isn't as much of a pipe dream now. Not to say it's going to be easy, but this is a step in the right direction.
To put it bluntly, "Grey skies are gonna clear up! Put on a happy face..."